Posts Tagged 'North'

Monday Night Football- AFC North Duel between the Ravens and Browns

January 19 2010   Leave a Comment   Tags: , , , , , , ,

After getting swept by the Bengals last week, the Ravens look to bounce back in Cleveland Browns Stadium- the slums of the AFC North. Can the Browns prevent a beatdown from their division rivals with Brady Quinn under center? Let’s break down the matchup.  Ravens on OffenseThe Ravens never got it going in their loss to Cincy last week. Besides putting up only 7 points, they went 1 of 10 on 3rd down and had the ball for just 20 minutes. Moreover, Joe Flacco went 18-32 with 2 picks. But there’s good news; the best cure for a struggling young QB is to play the Browns, who gave up 31 points to Aaron Rodgers’ Packers and 30 to Jay Cutler’s Bears. Last week, Ray Rice was Baltimore’s leading receiver, which cannot happen in a Ravens offense that’s been pass-heavy this year. Flacco needs to get Derrick Mason and Todd Heap back in the mix. On another note, the Ravens have had the most success when they commit to the ground game. There’s no reason why Ray Rice shouldn’t get 20 touches against a Cleveland D that allows 170. 5 rushing yards a game. On the other side, the Browns’ LB corpse can hold its own. Led by leading tackler D’Qwell Jackson and Kamerion Wimbley (who has 5 sacks), the Browns can cause some commotion if they play with a reckless abandonment. Browns on OffenseSo Brady Quinn gets the nod, but how much can he help a team that has 5 offensive touchdowns this season? Quinn will not be heroic by any means, but he gives the Browns a better chance because he is more accurate and turns the ball over less. Plus, Quinn showed he has big-game ability when he torched the Giants last year on Monday Night Football. But whether it’s Quinn or Derek Anderson taking snaps, the Browns have put up just under 10 points and 221 yards per game and the O-line has given up 19 sacks. And although Cleveland won’t admit it, they could really use a big-play receiver like Braylon Edwards to save their league-worst passing attack. Rookie Mohamed Massaquoi shows flashes but needs to be more consistent if the Browns intend to threaten a secondary led by Ed Reed. As for the run, Cleveland can only hope for Jamal Lewis to stick it to his former team one last time before he throws in the towel. But unless Lewis suddenly returns to Pro Bowl form, Baltimore should have no problem stopping the run. Last Week, Cedric Benson ran all over the Ravens, and Ray Lewis took it personal. Look for his emotions to spread to the rest of his teammates on defense. The Browns can make it a game if they loosen up and play with the purpose of wrecking a team with playoff hopes. But in the end, Baltimore will grind it out in classic Raven fashion- controlling the pace offensively and keeping the Browns in lockdown mode. PredictionBaltimore 34 Cleveland 10

2007 Nfl Betting: Analyzing the Afc North

December 1 2009   Leave a Comment   Tags: , , ,

BALTIMORE RAVENS (13-3 SU, 10-6 ATS): The Ravens abandoned their “good defense, no offense” tag once Head Coach Brain Billick began calling the plays six games into the season. The return of rickety but reliable Steve McNair at QB, the drafting of highly regarded guard Ben Grubbs and the upgrade of Willis McGahee at RB should keep the attack humming. The always intimidating defense lost a stud in LB Adalius Thomas but don’t expect defensive coordinator Rex Ryan to be any less aggressive. It’s not a stretch to see the Ravens at 7-0 before their bye week. Then comes a brutal second-half slate that includes the Chargers, Patriots and Colts, back-to-back-to-back.

By the Numbers (Regular Season, 1998-2006)

SU: 81-63

ATS: 79-69-6

HF: 34-15-2

HD: 8-9-3

AF: 10-16

AD: 23-17

Sportsbook Buster: The Ravens are just 2-9 ATS versus the Dolphins, who they play in Miami, Dec. 16

Sports Betting Angle: Baltimore has been one of the most reliable home favorites in the NFL the last nine seasons, amassing a 34-15-2 record (. 693) ATS.

CINCINNATI BENGALS (8-8 SU, 8-7-1 ATS): There’s no question that in QB Carson Palmer, WR Chad Johnson and RB Rudi Johnson, the Bengals have the offensive explosiveness to compete with anyone. But can Cincinnati Head Coach Marvin Lewis finally construct a defense worthy of that high powered offense and, just as importantly, can the Bengals stay out of trouble with the law? The Bengals had nine players arrested in a nine-month period last year, which, clearly is no way to build a winning football team. Cincinnati has the talent to be 10-6 but could just as easily finish 6-10.

By the Numbers (Regular Season, 1998-2006)

SU: 54-90

ATS: 60-80-4

HF: 11-18-2

HD: 15-24

AF: 9-3

AD: 24-34-2

Sportsbook Buster: The Bengals are 7-1-1 ATS their last nine games versus the Patriots, who they face, Oct. 1.

Sports Betting Angle: Cincinnati has been a bad bet at home, forging just a 26-42-2 record (. 382) ATS in Paul Brown Stadium, the last nine seasons.

PITTSBURGH STEELERS (8-8 SU, 8-8 ATS): Mike Tomlin brings his “Tampa 2” defense from Minnesota to Pittsburgh, ending the 15-year reign of Bill Cowher as Steelers head coach. The return of defensive coordinator Dick LeBeau will ease the transition and Pittsburgh will maintain its 3-4 alignment, though help is needed at linebacker to ease the burden on safety Troy Polamalu. After suffering a motor cycle accident before the start of last season, QB Ben Roethlisberger is at full health and a return to his Super Bowl winning form of 2005 is eagerly anticipated. Like Cincinnati, Pittsburgh could finish anywhere from 10-6 to 6-10, depending on how the team performs.

By the Numbers (Regular Season, 1998-2006)

SU: 85-58-1

ATS: 73-67-4

HF: 29-33-1

HD: 6-3

AF: 17-14-2

AD: 21-17-1

Sportsbook Buster: The Steelers are 11-2 ATS at home on Monday night, where they play Baltimore, Nov. 5 and Miami, Nov. 26.

Sports Betting Angle: Pittsburgh has covered six straight games ATS at Cincinnati, where the teams meet, Oct. 28.

CLEVELAND BROWNS (4-12 SU, 7-8-1 ATS): Winless in division play a year ago, it’s difficult to make a case for a change of basement residence for the Browns this season. There’s uncertainty at quarterback where Charlie Frye, Derek Anderson and rookie Brady Quinn (if he ever signs) are vying for the starting job but the running attack, led by recent arrival Jamal Lewis, operating behind guard Eric Steinbach and No. 1 draft pick, tackle Joe Thomas, should be improved. The Browns were 27th in total defense last year and the play of that unit, alone, probably won’t be good enough to keep Cleveland from finishing in the AFC North cellar again.

By the Numbers (Regular Season, 1999-2006)

SU: 40-88

ATS: 58-68-2

HF: 10-11

HD: 18-22-1

AF: 2-0

AD: 28-33-1

Sportsbook Buster: The Browns have lost seven straight ATS to the Steelers, who they play at home Sept. 9 and on the road Nov. 11.

Sports Betting Angle: Cleveland is 0-6 ATS when facing a division foe at home the game after playing a non-conference opponent.

Legend:

SU = Straight Up

ATS = Against the Spread

HF = Home Favorite

HD = Home Underdog

AF = Away Favorite

AD = Away Underdog

Second of an eight-part NFL betting preview series

Next: Analyzing the AFC South

 
     
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